Argentina’s GDP to Grow About 3.9% in 2025

Argentina’s economic activity increased 5% in September year-on-year, far above economists’ forecast of 1.9%, and rose 0.5% versus August, despite market volatility during the pre-election period. Analysts now expect Argentina’s GDP to grow about 3.9% in 2025, with inflation near 30%, helped by stronger export competitiveness after the peso’s depreciation. (Ministry of Economy)

Raízen communicates the resignation of two members of the board, Cristiano Pinto da Costa and Rodrigo Araújo Alves. To replace them, Roland Alexander Ilube and Vasco Augusto Pinto da Fonseca Dias Júnior were nominated by the shareholders Shell Brazil Holding BV and Cosan S.A. (Raízen)
The Senate Agriculture Committee concluded debates on the regulation of the Brazilian Emissions Trading System (SBCE), instituted by Law No. 15042/2024. The SBCE will be mandatory for emitters exceeding 25 thousand tonnes of greenhouse gases annually, but it exempts primary agribusiness from the emissions cap. Sustainable agriculture may participate voluntarily and benefit, as the system allows integration with carbon credits, reinforcing the sector’s legal certainty and economic potential in the regulated market. (Senate Agency)
Brazilian Trade and Investment Promotion Agency inaugurated an office in Cuiabá, State of Mato Grosso, as part of a strategy to expand its institutional presence in the central-west region and strengthen direct support for local farmers. The inauguration was accompanied by events with the MoA, where new investments and qualification programs aimed at boosting exports were announced. ApexBrasil President, Jorge Viana, highlighted that the opening is part of the Agency’s strategy to double its international presence and move closer to the domestic productive sector, reflecting Brazil’s recovered prominence in global forums like the G20 and BRICS. (ApexBrasil)
Brazil’s National Congress overturned part of the presidential vetoes to the General Environmental Licensing Law, reinstating 24 provisions of Bill No. 2159/21. Another 28 items remain under review after requests for separate votes, while seven points related to the Special Environmental License (LAE), currently regulated by Provisional Measure No. 1308/25, were postponed. Congress also overturned six vetoes to the States’ Full Debt Payment Program and fully restored the wording on Senate remunerations approved by lawmakers. (Agência Câmara de Notícias)
Brazil’s Supreme Court has scheduled for December 5th the start of the virtual trial on cases involving the “timeframe” thesis for demarcation of indigenous lands, with electronic voting open until December 15th. The justices will review the final text drafted by a special committee and once again rule on the constitutionality of the thesis, which restricts demarcations to occupied areas. (Agência Brasil)
StoneX kept its forecast for Center-South Brazil cane crush in 2026/27 at 620.5 million tonnes, but reduced expected sugar output to 41.5 million tonnes (from 42.1 million), signaling a potential shift of more ethanol production. Globally, the consulting firm projects a sugar surplus of 3.7 million tonnes in 2025/26, with world production at 197.5 million tonnes (+4.2%) and consumption at 193.8 million (+0.5%), supported by larger crops in India and Brazil, pushing stocks to 77.3 million tonnes and decreasing international prices to the lowest prices in 5 years. (StoneX Consulting)
Extreme Heat and Agriculture 2025 report, launched during COP30, warns that global warming acts as a risk multiplier, threatening food security and the health of rural workers. The study details impacts such as productivity declines in staple crops and livestock, the collapse of fish stocks and the transformation of forests into carbon emitters due to wildfires. It highlights that compound events, such as the combination of heat and drought, generate effects capable of collapsing entire agricultural systems, demanding the implementation of adaptation and resilience strategies. (FAO)
Agriculture Committee of the Chamber of Deputies is holding a public hearing to discuss the impacts of the new STS10 Container Terminal auction at the Port of Santos on Brazilian agribusiness. At the request of Congressman Evair Vieira de Melo, the meeting addresses concerns regarding competition restrictions proposed by the National Waterway Transportation Agency, which could increase logistics costs and hinder the shipment of commodities such as coffee and sugar. The debate aims to ensure the concession model preserves sector competitiveness, particularly given projections indicating port capacity saturation by 2028. (Agência Câmara de Notícia)
During the opening of the 8th Forum of the National Foot-and-Mouth Disease Surveillance Program, the government of the State of Mato Grosso do Sul reinforced that integration between farmers and the public sector is fundamental to maintaining the status of a Foot-and-Mouth Disease area without vaccination. The event highlighted that ensuring competitiveness and expanding into international markets requires continuous, technology-driven sanitary surveillance. Authorities emphasized that, despite the virus’s eradication, rigorous monitoring must continue to guarantee herd health and the state’s credibility on the global stage. (Government of the State of Mato Grosso do Sul)


During the second vaccination cycle against foot-and-mouth disease in Colombia, 13.2 million cattle and buffaloes have been immunized so far, covering 44% of the national herd between 27 October and 16 December. The campaign also vaccinated 37.1% of young females against brucellosis and protected 46.8% of the herd in Córdoba and Sucre against sylvatic rabies. (Fedegán)

Government of Ecuador, in partnership with FAO, launched the “Agro-economic Atlas 2024-2025,” a strategic tool designed to guide territorial planning and decision-making across public and private sectors. The document highlights the strength of the country’s agribusiness — accounting for 15% of GDP — and reinforces its global leadership in banana, shrimp and cocoa exports. The initiative aims to consolidate productive transformation and attract investment, promoting sustainability and competitiveness in the international market. (FAO; Government)

The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative invoked the Rapid Response Labor Mechanism of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement to verify whether the winery Freixenet de Mexico is violating workers’ rights to freedom of association and collective bargaining, following a petition received from the Mexican workers’ union CTM Alimentos. The petition alleges interference in union activities. Due to “sufficient and credible evidence of a violation”, the USA suspended the liquidation of imports of Freixenet goods and requested that Mexico conduct a review of the case. (Office of the United States Trade Representative)

Peru hosted the 11th Governing Body Meeting of the International Treaty on Plant Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture, gathering delegates from 155 countries in Lima, with the objective of defining the global agenda on agricultural biodiversity and food security. (Federal Government)
Agricultural sector should grow 4.2% by the end of 2025. This outlook is reinforced by the 5.9% growth in the Gross Value of Agricultural Production (VBP) in the first nine months. September of 2025 had the highest growth of the year at 12.1%. (Ministry of Agrarian Development and Irrigation)

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