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{"id":20261,"date":"2023-10-16T09:44:17","date_gmt":"2023-10-16T12:44:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agribrasilis.com\/?p=20261"},"modified":"2023-11-13T13:58:24","modified_gmt":"2023-11-13T16:58:24","slug":"yuan-argentina1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agribrasilis.com\/2023\/10\/16\/yuan-argentina1\/","title":{"rendered":"Argentina: elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial, d\u00f3lar soja, ado\u00e7\u00e3o do yuan"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201cDiante da queda das reservas internacionais argentinas, o yuan surge como uma alternativa para o com\u00e9rcio com a China…\u201d<\/p>\n

Hern\u00e1n Emilio Satorre<\/strong> \u00e9 cofundador da Amplificagro<\/strong> e presidente da Associa\u00e7\u00e3o de Facilitadores Profissionais da Argentina, formado em ci\u00eancias econ\u00f4micas pela Universidade de Buenos Aires<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"\"

Hern\u00e1n Emilio Satorre<\/strong> \u00e9 cofundador da Amplificagro<\/p><\/div>\n


\n

AgriBrasilis – Por que a Argentina passou a importar tanta soja do Brasil?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hern\u00e1n Satorre –<\/strong> Principalmente porque a ind\u00fastria transformadora n\u00e3o disp\u00f5e de mat\u00e9ria-prima suficiente para utilizar plenamente a sua capacidade instalada e cumprir os seus objetivos produtivos.<\/p>\n

As causas dessa escassez foram decorrentes das m\u00e1s condi\u00e7\u00f5es clim\u00e1ticas (seca) e da falta de pol\u00edticas p\u00fablicas.<\/p>\n

AgriBrasilis – O que se espera do novo d\u00f3lar soja?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hern\u00e1n Satorre –<\/strong> O \u00faltimo \u201cd\u00f3lar soja\u201d estabeleceu que 75% das moedas deveriam ser liquidadas no Mercado Livre de C\u00e2mbio (MLC), enquanto os 25% restantes estariam dispon\u00edveis gratuitamente.<\/p>\n

\u00c9 importante entender que essa medida n\u00e3o gera recursos, apenas os adianta (as vendas avan\u00e7am). Essa medida gera distor\u00e7\u00f5es na cadeia de valor agr\u00edcola, especialmente nas atividades que utilizam a soja como insumo ou como refer\u00eancia.<\/p>\n

AgriBrasilis – Como se comportaram as diferentes taxas de c\u00e2mbio adotadas anteriormente?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hern\u00e1n Satorre –<\/strong> O primeiro programa, o \u201cD\u00f3lar Soja 1\u201d, foi o l\u00edder em toneladas vendidas, alcan\u00e7ando quase US$ 8 bilh\u00f5es. Seu sucessor, o \u201cD\u00f3lar Soja 2\u201d, registrou um menor volume de vendas devido ao seu car\u00e1ter tempor\u00e1rio e ao fato de que a maioria dos produtores, principalmente os de menor porte, j\u00e1 havia optado pelo \u201cD\u00f3lar Soja 1\u201d para obter pre\u00e7os mais competitivos e cumprir os compromissos financeiros.<\/p>\n

Num contexto de condi\u00e7\u00f5es agrometeorol\u00f3gicas e produtivas desfavor\u00e1veis, o \u201cD\u00f3lar Soja 3\u201d conseguiu comercializar aproximadamente 8 milh\u00f5es de toneladas, gerando receitas de US$ 5,6 bilh\u00f5es. Essas iniciativas tamb\u00e9m impactam nas estrat\u00e9gias de compras dos setores industrial e de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o. Atualmente, quase 8 milh\u00f5es de toneladas de soja aguardam comercializa\u00e7\u00e3o, das quais 3,8 milh\u00f5es aguardam precifica\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

AgriBrasilis – Como \u00e9 poss\u00edvel aumentar as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de soja num cen\u00e1rio de colheitas ruins?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hern\u00e1n Satorre –<\/strong> A Argentina est\u00e1 em pleno ano eleitoral. Por isso, muitas das medidas que est\u00e3o sendo adotadas n\u00e3o respeitam uma l\u00f3gica econ\u00f4mica ou produtiva, mas seguem uma l\u00f3gica pol\u00edtica. O governo atual procura refor\u00e7ar as reservas do Banco Central olhando para o curto prazo, sem considerar as distor\u00e7\u00f5es e danos que podem estar sendo gerados.<\/p>\n

AgriBrasilis – Por que a China perdeu sua posi\u00e7\u00e3o como principal fonte de importa\u00e7\u00f5es da Argentina?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hern\u00e1n Satorre –<\/strong> A principal raz\u00e3o tem a ver com os planos oficiais da China focados em aumentar a produ\u00e7\u00e3o interna de soja e reduzir a depend\u00eancia das importa\u00e7\u00f5es, o que est\u00e1 inserido no \u00e2mbito de uma campanha nacional mais ampla de seguran\u00e7a alimentar. \u00c9 claro que esse \u00e9 um sinal de alarme para pa\u00edses como Brasil e Argentina.<\/p>\n

AgriBrasilis – Qual a solu\u00e7\u00e3o para evitar a escassez de insumos agr\u00edcolas devido \u00e0s dificuldades de importa\u00e7\u00e3o?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hern\u00e1n Satorre –<\/strong> As medidas adotadas pelo Governo impactam negativamente a produ\u00e7\u00e3o, limitando ainda mais o acesso aos insumos. No caso das empresas que t\u00eam capacidade para tanto, o que fazem \u00e9 \u201cestocar\u201d esses insumos para garantir a disponibilidade no caso de uma poss\u00edvel escassez. O problema \u00e9 que isso ajuda a acelerar a escassez. No caso das empresas que n\u00e3o t\u00eam outra op\u00e7\u00e3o, elas acabam replanejando sua produ\u00e7\u00e3o ou diminuindo o pacote tecnol\u00f3gico, o que impacta na produ\u00e7\u00e3o total.<\/p>\n

AgriBrasilis – Como o uso do yuan pode contribuir para os investimentos e a balan\u00e7a comercial da Argentina?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hern\u00e1n Satorre \u2013<\/strong> Diante da queda das reservas internacionais argentinas, o yuan surge como uma alternativa para o com\u00e9rcio com a China em um cen\u00e1rio onde o financiamento ao governo da Argentina \u00e9 limitado. Contudo, essa op\u00e7\u00e3o surge como alternativa mais por uma quest\u00e3o de necessidade, e n\u00e3o tanto pelos seus benef\u00edcios, visto que para o mercado ainda n\u00e3o existe moeda com mais credibilidade, segura e institucionalizada que o d\u00f3lar dos EUA.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

LEIA MAIS:<\/p>\n

Conserva\u00e7\u00e3o e qualidade dos solos do Brasil<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cDiante da queda das reservas internacionais argentinas, o yuan surge como uma alternativa para o com\u00e9rcio com a China…\u201d Hern\u00e1n Emilio Satorre \u00e9 cofundador da…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":20258,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[47,97,57],"tags":[33],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nArgentina: elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial, d\u00f3lar soja, ado\u00e7\u00e3o do yuan<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Diante da queda das reservas internacionais argentinas, o yuan surge como uma alternativa para o com\u00e9rcio com a China em um cen\u00e1rio onde...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/agribrasilis.com\/2023\/10\/16\/yuan-argentina1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Argentina: elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial, d\u00f3lar soja, ado\u00e7\u00e3o do yuan\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Diante da queda das reservas internacionais argentinas, o yuan surge como uma alternativa para o com\u00e9rcio com a China em um cen\u00e1rio onde...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/agribrasilis.com\/2023\/10\/16\/yuan-argentina1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Agribrasilis - 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