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{"id":1965,"date":"2020-12-21T16:53:54","date_gmt":"2020-12-21T19:53:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/agribrasilis.com\/?p=1965"},"modified":"2021-01-14T03:33:54","modified_gmt":"2021-01-14T06:33:54","slug":"milho-seca-na-semeadura-pode-comprometer-2a-safra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agribrasilis.com\/2020\/12\/21\/milho-seca-na-semeadura-pode-comprometer-2a-safra\/","title":{"rendered":"Milho: seca na semeadura pode comprometer 2\u00aa safra"},"content":{"rendered":"
Analista de mercado considera os \u201criscos de perdas de potencial produtivo\u201d<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Guilherme Heiden \u00e9 analista de mercado na \u00e1rea de commodities agr\u00edcolas pela SLC Agr\u00edcola, onde ocupa o cargo de ger\u00eancia de vendas. Heiden concedeu \u00e0 AgriBrasilis<\/strong> a seguinte entrevista. Nela, os panoramas gerais do mercado do milho brasileiro s\u00e3o abordados, tanto na safra 2019\/20 quanto suas perspectivas e previs\u00f5es sobre a de 2020\/21 frente aos atrasos devido \u00e0 seca na semeadura da soja para a primeira safra de ver\u00e3o.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
AgriBrasilis – Ap\u00f3s todos os dados j\u00e1 coletados, o que se pode dizer sobre a \u00faltima safra Brasileira de milho? Quais as principais diferen\u00e7as entre a primeira safra da segunda?<\/strong><\/p>\n
Guilherme Heiden –<\/strong> Em linhas gerais, a mais recente safra brasileira de milho apresentou produ\u00e7\u00e3o de, aproximadamente, 2% superior ao ciclo anterior, enquanto que o incremento de \u00e1rea esteve pr\u00f3ximo a 6% no comparativo anual.<\/p>\n
Com rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s principais diferen\u00e7as entre as safras atualmente no Brasil, chama a aten\u00e7\u00e3o a manuten\u00e7\u00e3o e consist\u00eancia da \u00e1rea de milho segunda safra em patamares superiores a 70% do total plantado no pa\u00eds (74% na segunda safra e 26% na primeira safra, no \u00faltimo ciclo).<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Lavoura de milho irrigado \u2013 foto cedida por Irrigabras.<\/span><\/p><\/div>\n
<\/p>\n
\n
\u201c<\/strong>Exporta\u00e7\u00f5es brasileiras \n<\/strong>de milho t\u00eam se mostrado \nao longo dos \u00faltimos anos \nem tend\u00eancia crescente\u201d<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n
<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
AgriBrasilis – O Brasil presenciou agora no final de 2020 nas principais regi\u00f5es produtoras um atraso consider\u00e1vel nas chuvas, o que pode ter atrasado a semeadura da primeira safra. Quais s\u00e3o os impactos para safra 2020\/21?<\/strong><\/p>\n
Guilherme Heiden –<\/strong> O cen\u00e1rio clim\u00e1tico vivido at\u00e9 o momento no Brasil em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 primeira safra de milho, em que uma s\u00e9rie de regi\u00f5es vem registrando atraso nas chuvas ou volumes pluviom\u00e9tricos abaixo da m\u00e9dia hist\u00f3rica, apresenta riscos de perdas de potencial produtivo, com destaque nas regi\u00f5es onde concentram ainda a maioria das \u00e1reas de milho em primeira safra no Brasil, como Paran\u00e1 e Rio Grande do Sul.<\/p>\n
Al\u00e9m do cen\u00e1rio vivido at\u00e9 agora, \u00e9 importante ter-se tamb\u00e9m em considera\u00e7\u00e3o o cen\u00e1rio de expectativa de La Ni\u00f1a<\/em> durante os pr\u00f3ximos meses, em que, historicamente, tal fen\u00f4meno est\u00e1 associado a registros de volumes de precipita\u00e7\u00e3o abaixo da m\u00e9dia para as regi\u00f5es ao Sul do Hemisf\u00e9rio Sul, cen\u00e1rio este que poderia colaborar com a deteriora\u00e7\u00e3o das condi\u00e7\u00f5es das lavouras nas regi\u00f5es onde a exposi\u00e7\u00e3o a tais vari\u00e1veis clim\u00e1ticas \u00e9 maior.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
AgriBrasilis – Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao mercado internacional, o milho brasileiro tem se mostrado competitivo? o que tem levado os produtores a optar pelo plantio de milho na segunda safra?<\/strong><\/p>\n
Guilherme Heiden –<\/strong> As exporta\u00e7\u00f5es brasileiras de milho t\u00eam se mostrado ao longo dos \u00faltimos anos em uma tend\u00eancia crescente, na qual o pa\u00eds tem gerado excedentes export\u00e1veis que resultam do aumento de produ\u00e7\u00e3o observado por meio de ganhos de produtividade e aumento de \u00e1rea plantada superiores \u00e0 demanda do mercado dom\u00e9stico.<\/p>\n
A avalia\u00e7\u00e3o para a tomada de decis\u00e3o de cada produtor pelo plantio de milho segunda safra \u00e9 sempre resultante da avalia\u00e7\u00e3o individual de cada neg\u00f3cio, por\u00e9m, pode-se citar, em linhas gerais, a otimiza\u00e7\u00e3o\/dilui\u00e7\u00e3o de custos fixos entre duas culturas sobre uma mesma \u00e1rea plantada, recomenda\u00e7\u00f5es agron\u00f4micas, aptid\u00e3o regional a uma segunda safra, expectativas de retorno sobre o capital investido e a disponibilidade individual de cada produtor em tomar o risco de ter optado pela produ\u00e7\u00e3o de uma segunda safra.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Analista de mercado considera os \u201criscos de perdas de potencial produtivo\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":1989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[30,34],"tags":[33],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
Milho: seca na semeadura pode comprometer 2\u00aa safra - Agribrasilis - Inside Agribusiness<\/title>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\n\n\n\t\n\t\n\t\n